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Bay Area ICU availability is nearly double Sacramento’s. Why is it still locked down and Sacramento is not?

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Intensive care unit availability within the Bay Space jumped to 23.4% on Saturday after weeks of single-digit availability, a powerful sign that the worst of the surge is previously.

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Nonetheless, it was not instantly clear when the area may emerge from the state’s stay-home order. The order is meant to be lifted when ICU availability is projected to exceed 15% wanting 4 weeks forward.

The Bay Space, which incorporates the 9 core counties in addition to Monterey and Santa Cruz counties, is properly past that threshold in the mean time.

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The 13-county Sacramento area had its state-imposed lockdown lifted more than a week ago. However the ICU capability for that area stays at 11.9% — simply over half the Bay Space’s present determine.

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State public well being officers couldn’t instantly be reached on Saturday to touch upon when the lockdown could be lifted for the Bay Space, and why the Bay Space remained on lockdown whereas Sacramento — with worse ICU numbers — was not.

The numbers are wanting good, Matt Willis, Marin County’s public well being officer instructed The Chronicle on Saturday, including he’s hopeful the Bay Space lockdown will carry within the close to future.

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“It’s the state’s name,” he stated. “However we’re all wanting on the similar numbers and we’re all feeling hopeful.”

San Francisco Mayor London Breed stated on Friday that town may “soon start reopening under California’s guidelines” as a result of town’s coronavirus transmission charges dropped.

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“Meaning for each one that will get COVID-19, on common they’re passing it to lower than one different individual. We’re slowing the unfold,” Breed wrote on Twitter.

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Lifting the lockdown would enable the Bay Space to renew actions permitted under the state’s purple tier, together with outside eating. Out of doors gatherings with individuals exterior your family may additionally resume — although with a three-household-max restriction. Hair salons may resume serving clients indoors. Nevertheless, particular person counties may determine to proceed to proceed to ban a few of these actions, separate from the state’s orders.

California well being officers use a posh formulation that has not been made public to anticipate ICU availability 4 weeks out. “In the intervening time the projections aren’t being shared publicly,” Division of Public Well being spokeswoman Ali Bay stated in an electronic mail to the Related Press.

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When the Sacramento area’s order was lifted, the ICU availability was at about 9%.

The dearth of a state rationalization has created confusion, and that’s the other of what the state must be doing, stated David Canepa, president of the San Mateo County Board of Supervisors.

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Data must be “clear, concise and most significantly must keep away from confusion,” he stated.

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The numbers regarded encouraging, nevertheless, Canepa added.

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“My concern is that the general public will hear this and assume it’s secure to exit with a enterprise as regular perspective,” he stated. “I too wish to dine in at my favourite eating places, however for now I’ll keep at residence and order takeout. If we will maintain these numbers down over the subsequent month, then I say bravo. I’ll be the primary in line to get a haircut on the barbershop.”

“Within the meantime,” he stated, “keep residence when you can, keep away from gatherings and put on your rattling masks.”

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This story is growing.

The Related Press contributed to this report.

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Lauren Hernández and Jill Tucker are San Francisco Chronicle workers writers. E-mail: [email protected] [email protected] Twitter: @ByLHernandez @jilltucker

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