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Analysis: Is this Joe Biden pick already doomed?


Greater than 18 hours prior, nonetheless, Republicans have been already predicting that Tanden would by no means make it by the affirmation course of.

“Neera Tanden, who has an limitless stream of disparaging feedback in regards to the Republican Senators’ whose votes she’ll want, stands zero probability of being confirmed,” tweeted Drew Brandewie, communications director for Texas Sen. John Cornyn.
“Neera Tanden is a big-government, big-spending radical liberal who’s a horrible alternative for OMB Director,” Sen. Rick Scott (R-Florida) tweeted. “It is simply extra proof that @JoeBiden and the Democrats will proceed to maneuver additional and additional to the Left.”
At difficulty for Republicans is Tanden’s position because the president and CEO of the Center for American Progress, an influential liberal suppose tank. And particularly, her outspoken opposition to the affirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Courtroom in 2018.
Within the wake of Kavanaugh’s slim affirmation to the nation’s highest courtroom, Tanden said this: “Senate Republicans selected to present him the promotion of a lifetime and ship a horrible message to sexual assault survivors. In his listening to, Kavanaugh repeatedly lied about issues large and small and revealed himself as an clearly unfit, dishonest, pure partisan.”
Of Maine Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who solid the deciding vote in Kavanaugh’s favor, Tanden was much more vital. “Sen. Susan Collins stepped ahead because the chief advocate for Choose Kavanaugh, providing a pathetically dangerous religion argument as cowl for President Trump’s vicious assaults on survivors of sexual assault,” said Tanden, adding: “Collins additionally revealed herself as a faux defender of Roe v. Wade, parroting ridiculous and debunked speaking factors.”

Which brings me to the Senate math — and why a unified GOP might effectively imply that Tanden by no means will get to run OMB.

In the meanwhile, Republicans management 52 seats to Democrats’ 48. Management of the Senate will not be determined till January 5, when GOP Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler discover themselves in runoff races towards Democrats Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, respectively.


If Democrats handle to win each of these races — they usually have not gained a Senate race in Georgia since 2000 — the Senate can be cut up 50-50, giving Vice President-elect Kamala Harris the deciding vote and her celebration efficient management of the chamber. And Tanden, beneath that state of affairs, would doubtless be confirmed to the OMB gig.

But when Democrats do not sweep these runoffs, then Biden — and, by extension, Tanden — will want at the least one Republican senator (and possibly two) to present her the 50 votes she must be confirmed. (That assumes each Democratic senator votes for her. Which appears doubtless — regardless that some liberals do not like Tanden.)

The 2 most blatant targets for any Democrat nominee trying to decide up GOP voters are Collins and her colleague — and shut confidante — Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. Whoops!


Whereas Collins might effectively resolve to disregard Tanden’s previous criticism of her when making a choice about affirmation, effectively, that’s not going to occur. As a result of, in spite of everything, that is politics. Might Murkowski be the lone GOP vote Tanden wants? Certain! However the badmouthing of Collins actually would not assist issues for Tanden in terms of Murkowski.

Now, after we are speaking about such small margins — needing a single GOP vote, probably — there are at all times eventualities the place Tanden might lose Collins and Murkowski and nonetheless get confirmed by another Republican senator’s vote.

However, as CNN’s Zach Wolf noted earlier this month, latest historical past means that one of many President’s picks often would not make it. (At the least one Cupboard decide by each president since Invoice Clinton in 1992 has did not be confirmed.) In the meanwhile, Tanden seems to be to be the favourite for that ignominious honor.

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