Greater than 18 hours prior, nonetheless, Republicans have been already predicting that Tanden would by no means make it by the affirmation course of.
Which brings me to the Senate math — and why a unified GOP might effectively imply that Tanden by no means will get to run OMB.
In the meanwhile, Republicans management 52 seats to Democrats’ 48. Management of the Senate will not be determined till January 5, when GOP Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler discover themselves in runoff races towards Democrats Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, respectively.
If Democrats handle to win each of these races — they usually have not gained a Senate race in Georgia since 2000 — the Senate can be cut up 50-50, giving Vice President-elect Kamala Harris the deciding vote and her celebration efficient management of the chamber. And Tanden, beneath that state of affairs, would doubtless be confirmed to the OMB gig.
The 2 most blatant targets for any Democrat nominee trying to decide up GOP voters are Collins and her colleague — and shut confidante — Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. Whoops!
Whereas Collins might effectively resolve to disregard Tanden’s previous criticism of her when making a choice about affirmation, effectively, that’s not going to occur. As a result of, in spite of everything, that is politics. Might Murkowski be the lone GOP vote Tanden wants? Certain! However the badmouthing of Collins actually would not assist issues for Tanden in terms of Murkowski.
Now, after we are speaking about such small margins — needing a single GOP vote, probably — there are at all times eventualities the place Tanden might lose Collins and Murkowski and nonetheless get confirmed by another Republican senator’s vote.